Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 27-21 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 86.8%
Neutral zone
Acciari 58.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Acciari
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
27
(48 meetings)
21
27
Acciari
Johansen
Last 10: Acciari 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
17
Acciari
Johansen
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
12
5
Acciari
Johansen
17 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Acciari
Johansen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
53.1% (11,017)
-0.3%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
56.2% (2,163)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
50.5% (978)
-3.4%
On power play, Johansen has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Acciari shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Acciari
Johansen
Home
52.0% (2,115)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Acciari
Johansen
P1
52.2%
53.2%
P2
51.5%
53.9%
P3
50.5%
52.8%
OT
50.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:40 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:04 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 04:28 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |