Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Acciari wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 79.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.6%
Neutral zone
Acciari 57.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Acciari
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Acciari
Kuraly
Last 5: Acciari 4-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Acciari
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
3
0
Acciari
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (532)
49.2% (901)
+5.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
68.2% (22)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
49.8% (219)
-1.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Acciari shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kuraly
Home
56.2% (281)
51.7% (603)
Away
51.9% (345)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Acciari
Kuraly
P1
53.4%
50.9%
P2
57.1%
49.5%
P3
51.4%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |