Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 62.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 52.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Acciari
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Acciari
Kuraly
Last 10: Acciari 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Acciari
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
7
4
Acciari
Kuraly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
51.5% (5,141)
+1.3%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
56.0% (100)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
44.2% (1,086)
+2.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Acciari shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Acciari
Kuraly
Home
52.0% (2,115)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Acciari
Kuraly
P1
52.2%
51.1%
P2
51.5%
49.9%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |