Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Novak 43.3% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 93.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Acciari
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Acciari
Novak
Last 8: Acciari 4-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Acciari
Novak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Acciari
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
42.1% (1,539)
+10.7%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
51.9% (133)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
50.0% (2)
-2.9%
On even strength, Acciari has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Acciari shoots right. Novak is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Acciari
Novak
Home
52.0% (2,115)
45.3% (814)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Acciari
Novak
P1
52.2%
43.9%
P2
51.5%
42.8%
P3
50.5%
41.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:05 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |