Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.6% vs Patrick 50.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 81.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 80.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 79.6%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Carter
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Carter
Patrick
Last 8: Carter 6-2 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Patrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (307)
50.6% (719)
+2.5%
Power Play
62.5% (64)
50.0% (22)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
70.4% (27)
50.0% (2)
+20.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Carter is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Carter shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Home / Away
Carter
Patrick
Home
58.9% (285)
50.1% (391)
Away
47.8% (113)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Carter
Patrick
P1
54.9%
54.4%
P2
57.5%
49.3%
P3
56.0%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 06:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:41 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |