Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Patrick wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 50.5% vs Johansen 55.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 75.2%
Defensive zone
Patrick 76.8%
Neutral zone
Patrick 75.1%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Patrick
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Patrick
Johansen
Last 6: Patrick 0-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Patrick
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Patrick
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Patrick
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (719)
55.9% (1,157)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
56.5% (237)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.3% (67)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Patrick is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (230).
Patrick shoots right. Johansen is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Patrick
Johansen
Home
50.1% (391)
55.8% (733)
Away
51.1% (352)
55.1% (728)
By Period
Patrick
Johansen
P1
54.4%
53.5%
P2
49.3%
55.9%
P3
47.5%
57.2%
OT
33.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |