Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Patrick wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Johansen 53.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 61.6%
Defensive zone
Patrick 67.8%
Neutral zone
Patrick 65.7%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Patrick
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Patrick
Johansen
Last 7: Patrick 0-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Patrick
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Patrick
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Patrick
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.5%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
56.2% (2,163)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
50.5% (978)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Patrick is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (683).
Patrick shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Patrick
Johansen
Home
49.7% (1,106)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Patrick
Johansen
P1
52.9%
53.2%
P2
49.1%
53.9%
P3
51.3%
52.8%
OT
40.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 19:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |