Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Patrick wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 48.9% vs Johansen 52.4% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 51.4%
Defensive zone
Patrick 58.0%
Neutral zone
Patrick 53.4%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Patrick
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Patrick
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Patrick
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (156)
49.4% (1,010)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
62.3% (236)
-6.0%
On power play, Johansen has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Patrick is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Patrick shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Patrick
Johansen
Home
43.8% (96)
54.7% (655)
Away
53.9% (76)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Patrick
Johansen
P1
44.4%
52.2%
P2
45.6%
50.7%
P3
56.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |