Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 43.0%). Kapanen wins 40.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.4% vs Kelly 43.9% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 69.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 78.4%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.0%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kapanen
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (45)
44.8% (556)
-0.4%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
0.0% (2)
+36.4%
On power play, Kapanen has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kapanen is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Kapanen shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Kelly
Home
39.4% (33)
44.8% (368)
Away
47.8% (23)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Kapanen
Kelly
P1
42.9%
46.7%
P2
40.0%
48.0%
P3
47.1%
34.8%
Final 5 min
41.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
42.9%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%