Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kapanen wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.8% vs Faksa 53.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 84.6%
Defensive zone
Faksa 66.7%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 60.5%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Kapanen
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kapanen
Faksa
Last 6: Kapanen 2-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
4
Kapanen
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (514)
56.4% (289)
-8.9%
Power Play
55.0% (40)
0.0% (2)
+55.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
49.2% (126)
-9.7%
On power play, Kapanen has a +55.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Kapanen shoots right. Faksa is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Faksa
Home
47.9% (307)
54.9% (182)
Away
47.0% (285)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Kapanen
Faksa
P1
42.7%
61.1%
P2
51.4%
51.3%
P3
48.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |