Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kapanen wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.5% vs Faksa 52.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 85.8%
Defensive zone
Faksa 64.6%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 64.9%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kapanen
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kapanen
Faksa
Last 6: Kapanen 2-4 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
4
Kapanen
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
0
Kapanen
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (559)
52.8% (6,681)
-5.6%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
57.7% (291)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
49.3% (1,372)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Kapanen shoots right. Faksa is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,151).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Faksa
Home
47.1% (340)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
47.1% (308)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Kapanen
Faksa
P1
42.7%
53.0%
P2
50.2%
52.5%
P3
48.2%
52.0%
OT
25.0%
45.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:01 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |