Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 48.5% vs Aho 50.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Kapanen
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kapanen
Aho
Last 5: Kapanen 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
1
Kapanen
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
0
Kapanen
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
0
Kapanen
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (450)
50.5% (647)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
54.2% (131)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (32)
38.1% (42)
-0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kapanen is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (383).
Kapanen shoots right. Aho is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Aho
Home
48.1% (266)
53.9% (445)
Away
48.2% (253)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Kapanen
Aho
P1
42.0%
48.7%
P2
52.9%
51.4%
P3
49.4%
50.8%
OT
25.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
48.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |