Oliver Kapanen vs Sebastian Aho
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kapanen wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kapanen 47.5% vs Aho 51.2% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.1%
Defensive zone
Aho 56.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 60.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Kapanen
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kapanen
Aho
Last 5: Kapanen 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
2
1
Kapanen
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
0
Kapanen
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
1
0
Kapanen
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kapanen
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (559)
50.1% (6,619)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.0% (51)
58.9% (1,310)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (38)
46.3% (464)
-6.8%
On power play, Aho has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Kapanen shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Kapanen
Aho
Home
47.1% (340)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
47.1% (308)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Kapanen
Aho
P1
42.7%
51.1%
P2
50.2%
52.0%
P3
48.2%
50.7%
OT
25.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |