Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.5%). Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 50.0% vs Aho 50.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 53.9%
Defensive zone
Moore 63.5%
Neutral zone
Moore 55.9%
Result
Oliver Moore favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Moore
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Moore
Aho
Last 6: Moore 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
0
Moore
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Moore
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Moore
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (154)
50.5% (647)
+2.1%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
54.2% (131)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
38.1% (42)
-38.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Moore is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Moore shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Moore
Aho
Home
54.3% (116)
53.9% (445)
Away
41.1% (56)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Moore
Aho
P1
47.5%
48.7%
P2
53.1%
51.4%
P3
49.2%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
44.0%▼
48.7%
50.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | OT | 00:51 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Oliver Moore |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |