Scouting Report
Oskar Bäck holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bäck 48.7% vs Hartman 45.5% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 59.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Bäck
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bäck
Hartman
Last 5: Bäck 1-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Bäck
Hartman
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bäck
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bäck
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (43)
44.8% (830)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
37.5% (16)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bäck is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Bäck shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Bäck
Hartman
Home
71.4% (21)
45.0% (515)
Away
30.3% (33)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Bäck
Hartman
P1
45.5%
46.5%
P2
56.5%
39.9%
P3
22.2%
48.6%
Final 5 min
36.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
46.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Oskar Bäck |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |