Scouting Report
Oskar Bäck holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bäck 50.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 70.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 62.2%
Neutral zone
Hartman 63.9%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Bäck
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Bäck
Hartman
Last 7: Bäck 1-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
4
Bäck
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
1
2
Bäck
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bäck
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (186)
45.2% (4,235)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
42.4% (262)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Bäck is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Bäck shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Bäck
Hartman
Home
52.4% (103)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
49.2% (124)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Bäck
Hartman
P1
51.5%
46.0%
P2
50.0%
42.9%
P3
50.8%
46.8%
Final 5 min
44.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bäck
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Oskar Bäck |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 13:11 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |