Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs McLeod 52.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 80.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 82.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 74.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 81.1%
18.9%
81.1%
Sundqvist
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sundqvist
McLeod
Last 7: Sundqvist 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sundqvist
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
0
Sundqvist
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
52.9% (904)
-7.9%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
57.6% (59)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
49.0% (241)
-3.0%
On even strength, McLeod has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. McLeod is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
McLeod
Home
45.5% (255)
51.8% (612)
Away
45.4% (317)
52.9% (592)
By Period
Sundqvist
McLeod
P1
40.9%
55.4%
P2
46.9%
50.8%
P3
48.4%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |