Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs McLeod 49.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Sundqvist leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 59.6%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Sundqvist
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Sundqvist
McLeod
Last 10: Sundqvist 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
Sundqvist
McLeod
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
3
0
Sundqvist
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
2
1
Sundqvist
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
50.4% (3,345)
-6.2%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
51.0% (292)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
44.3% (635)
-2.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Sundqvist shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
McLeod
Home
44.2% (1,584)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Sundqvist
McLeod
P1
42.8%
50.8%
P2
45.6%
48.4%
P3
43.7%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:32 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |