Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 63.4%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 62.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 63.3%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Last 6: Sundqvist 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Sundqvist
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Sundqvist
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
55.3% (515)
-10.3%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
55.6% (9)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
44.8% (58)
+1.2%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Home
45.5% (255)
57.3% (293)
Away
45.4% (317)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Sundqvist
Kuraly
P1
40.9%
53.8%
P2
46.9%
51.5%
P3
48.4%
57.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |