Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Sundqvist wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 82.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 52.1%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 57.1%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Last 10: Sundqvist 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
6
2
Sundqvist
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Sundqvist
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
5
Sundqvist
Kuraly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (2,842)
51.5% (5,141)
-7.3%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
56.0% (100)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (385)
44.2% (1,086)
-2.6%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,379).
Sundqvist shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Kuraly
Home
44.2% (1,584)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
44.0% (1,741)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Sundqvist
Kuraly
P1
42.8%
51.1%
P2
45.6%
49.9%
P3
43.7%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:20 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:36 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |