Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sundqvist wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 44.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 81.7%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 86.3%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 79.4%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Sundqvist
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Sundqvist
Monahan
Last 5: Sundqvist 0-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Sundqvist
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Sundqvist
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (154)
51.5% (641)
-4.7%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
62.8% (129)
-62.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (21)
33.3% (9)
-19.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +62.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sundqvist is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Sundqvist shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Monahan
Home
42.3% (97)
53.9% (362)
Away
40.0% (85)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Sundqvist
Monahan
P1
46.0%
48.0%
P2
45.9%
57.0%
P3
32.1%
54.1%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
36.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
41.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |