Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Sundqvist wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sundqvist 46.1% vs Monahan 52.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 73.8%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 55.7%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Sundqvist
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Sundqvist
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Sundqvist
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
0
Sundqvist
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Sundqvist
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sundqvist
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (500)
52.4% (853)
-7.4%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
58.6% (174)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (50)
46.5% (144)
-0.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Sundqvist shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Sundqvist
Monahan
Home
45.5% (255)
53.4% (624)
Away
45.4% (317)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Sundqvist
Monahan
P1
40.9%
53.7%
P2
46.9%
52.4%
P3
48.4%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |