Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Kelly 41.6% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 59.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 75.3%
Neutral zone
Kunin 65.7%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Kunin
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Kunin
Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Kelly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
36.3% (157)
+16.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
0.0% (1)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
45.5% (11)
-1.9%
On power play, Kunin has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Kunin
Kelly
Home
51.7% (151)
35.9% (78)
Away
51.2% (172)
37.4% (91)
By Period
Kunin
Kelly
P1
55.1%
34.3%
P2
55.3%
36.0%
P3
43.1%
40.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:05 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |