Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Kelly 43.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 89.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 56.7%
Neutral zone
Kasper 68.3%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Kasper
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Kasper
Kelly
Last 6: Kasper 6-0 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
0
Kasper
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
44.8% (556)
+0.3%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
0.0% (2)
+52.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
36.8% (144)
-7.4%
On power play, Kasper has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kelly
Home
47.9% (280)
44.8% (368)
Away
42.5% (346)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Kasper
Kelly
P1
45.8%
46.7%
P2
50.0%
48.0%
P3
38.4%
34.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:48 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |