Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 43.9% vs Strome 42.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 59.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 84.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 62.7%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kelly
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Strome
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (556)
41.2% (1,040)
+3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
43.0% (151)
-43.0%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (144)
51.4% (35)
-14.6%
On power play, Strome has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kelly is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Kelly shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Kelly
Strome
Home
44.8% (368)
40.1% (581)
Away
41.0% (334)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Kelly
Strome
P1
46.7%
41.4%
P2
48.0%
42.9%
P3
34.8%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
35.8%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |