Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kelly wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Strome 44.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 84.5%
Defensive zone
Strome 57.7%
Neutral zone
Strome 60.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Kelly
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kelly
Strome
Last 6: Kelly 5-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
3
0
Kelly
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (756)
44.1% (6,839)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
49.3% (854)
-49.3%
Penalty Kill
37.2% (172)
41.5% (410)
-4.3%
On power play, Strome has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Kelly shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Kelly
Strome
Home
42.5% (475)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
39.3% (456)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Kelly
Strome
P1
42.4%
44.0%
P2
44.7%
45.3%
P3
35.7%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
35.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |