Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Kelly wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 43.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 73.9%
Defensive zone
Kelly 96.7%
Neutral zone
Kelly 87.7%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Kelly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Kelly
Crosby
Last 10: Kelly 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
9
Kelly
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kelly
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (556)
56.2% (1,451)
-11.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.4% (293)
-61.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (144)
55.3% (38)
-18.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +61.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Kelly shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Kelly
Crosby
Home
44.8% (368)
59.1% (939)
Away
41.0% (334)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Kelly
Crosby
P1
46.7%
54.9%
P2
48.0%
60.8%
P3
34.8%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
35.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |