Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kelly 95.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 86.0%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Kelly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Kelly
Crosby
Last 10: Kelly 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
9
Kelly
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kelly
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (756)
52.8% (17,990)
-10.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
57.4% (4,733)
-57.4%
Penalty Kill
37.2% (172)
47.1% (765)
-9.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +57.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Kelly shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Kelly
Crosby
Home
42.5% (475)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
39.3% (456)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Kelly
Crosby
P1
42.4%
53.6%
P2
44.7%
53.9%
P3
35.7%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
49.6%
Final 5 min
35.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |