Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.4% vs Motte 44.0% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Motte 64.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 67.3%
Neutral zone
Motte 50.1%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Kelly
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (722)
43.6% (424)
-2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
41.7% (12)
-41.7%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (170)
37.9% (66)
-1.4%
On power play, Motte has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Kelly shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Kelly
Motte
Home
42.2% (457)
45.2% (248)
Away
38.6% (438)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Kelly
Motte
P1
41.5%
44.6%
P2
44.9%
42.1%
P3
35.1%
41.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%