Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +26.4% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 17.2% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.8% vs Motte 50.2% (-26.4%)
Offensive zone
Motte 52.0%
Defensive zone
Motte 61.1%
Neutral zone
Motte 54.4%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Kelly
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
22.9% (35)
49.7% (149)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
60.0% (5)
-32.7%
On penalty kill, Motte has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kelly is 17.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Kelly shoots left. Motte is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Kelly
Motte
Home
23.8% (21)
49.4% (89)
Away
24.0% (25)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Kelly
Motte
P1
22.2%
51.7%
P2
23.5%
50.0%
P3
27.3%
48.8%
Final 5 min
20.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
23.9%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%