Scouting Report
Parker Kelly holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 49.5% vs Motte 47.0% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Motte 51.9%
Defensive zone
Motte 61.5%
Neutral zone
Kelly 50.5%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Kelly
Motte
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (6)
37.5% (32)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
47.4% (19)
-7.4%
On even strength, Kelly has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Kelly is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (8).
Kelly shoots left. Motte is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Kelly
Motte
Home
60.0% (5)
54.5% (22)
Away
33.3% (6)
31.0% (29)
By Period
Kelly
Motte
P1
33.3%
60.0%
P2
40.0%
39.1%
P3
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
66.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
45.5%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.2%