Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Kelly wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 41.6% vs Johnston 48.5% (-11.6%)
Offensive zone
Johnston 55.5%
Defensive zone
Johnston 57.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Kelly
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
36.3% (157)
47.8% (623)
-11.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.8% (63)
-50.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
51.4% (35)
-5.9%
On power play, Johnston has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kelly is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kelly shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Kelly
Johnston
Home
35.9% (78)
47.6% (351)
Away
37.4% (91)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Kelly
Johnston
P1
34.3%
49.6%
P2
36.0%
47.3%
P3
40.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.7%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%