Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 87.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 94.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Horvat
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Horvat
Bergeron
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
8
Horvat
Bergeron
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
4
Horvat
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
60.5% (1,394)
-8.4%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
64.0% (300)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
53.7% (255)
-8.8%
On power play, Bergeron has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Horvat is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Horvat shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bergeron
Home
53.1% (420)
62.0% (949)
Away
49.8% (428)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Horvat
Bergeron
P1
52.4%
59.2%
P2
49.3%
63.9%
P3
52.8%
57.0%
OT
42.9%
68.6%
Final 5 min
53.0%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 12:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 13, 2015 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |