Connor McDavid vs Patrice Bergeron
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 43.9% vs Bergeron 59.6% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 86.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 88.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 89.4%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
McDavid
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
McDavid
Bergeron
Last 9: McDavid 2-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
McDavid
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
2
McDavid
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
McDavid
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (750)
62.5% (1,254)
-19.2%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
60.1% (303)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
48.2% (255)
-6.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. McDavid is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
McDavid shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Home / Away
McDavid
Bergeron
Home
48.7% (413)
62.2% (902)
Away
37.4% (393)
58.0% (910)
By Period
McDavid
Bergeron
P1
38.8%
59.6%
P2
46.8%
60.4%
P3
44.2%
60.2%
OT
45.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
43.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 19:02 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 10:22 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |