Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 47.3% vs Bergeron 56.2% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 79.6%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 91.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 87.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 85.6%
14.4%
85.6%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Staal
Bergeron
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
3
Staal
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (552)
57.3% (1,041)
-9.7%
Power Play
49.1% (110)
60.4% (149)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (111)
51.3% (234)
-13.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (979).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
49.8% (400)
59.8% (682)
Away
44.1% (401)
53.8% (757)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
53.7%
58.2%
P2
43.9%
58.1%
P3
43.5%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.9%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 10, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |