Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 92.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 90.3%
90.3%
9.7%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Staal
Bergeron
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Staal
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Staal
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
5
Staal
Bergeron
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (790)
61.6% (1,186)
-9.3%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
52.2% (201)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (218)
54.6% (240)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (419).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
54.9% (628)
61.7% (828)
Away
46.4% (530)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
50.3%
58.5%
P2
52.4%
61.8%
P3
50.4%
57.8%
OT
55.6%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
51.0%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2012 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 2 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 3, 2012 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |