Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Bergeron 58.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 83.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 81.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 82.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Staal
Bergeron
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Staal
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
4
Staal
Bergeron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Staal
Bergeron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
59.4% (1,274)
-4.1%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
57.5% (193)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
55.5% (265)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 59.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,119).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
54.7% (720)
61.9% (837)
Away
54.0% (757)
55.5% (895)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
51.2%
60.1%
P2
57.4%
59.2%
P3
54.6%
56.6%
OT
52.2%
57.7%
Final 5 min
59.0%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:53 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |