Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 57.3%). Staal wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.1% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 50.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Bergeron
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Staal
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Staal
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,016)
58.4% (972)
-2.5%
Power Play
68.0% (150)
53.4% (221)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (172)
56.0% (175)
-5.4%
On power play, Staal has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (912).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
57.2% (684)
59.0% (712)
Away
56.0% (654)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
53.0%
59.1%
P2
58.2%
60.2%
P3
58.9%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |