Josh Bailey vs Patrice Bergeron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Bailey wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.5% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 24-8 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 98.4%
Defensive zone
Bailey 98.6%
Neutral zone
Bailey 98.4%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 98.5%
98.5%
1.5%
Bailey
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
24
(32 meetings)
8
24
Bailey
Bergeron
Last 10: Bailey 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
8
Bailey
Bergeron
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
13
Bailey
Bergeron
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bailey
Bergeron
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,991)
60.1% (13,938)
-14.3%
Power Play
48.1% (295)
60.8% (3,213)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (281)
53.0% (2,776)
-13.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Bailey shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Bailey
Bergeron
Home
46.6% (1,353)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
44.0% (1,232)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Bailey
Bergeron
P1
46.5%
59.3%
P2
44.8%
60.0%
P3
44.4%
58.6%
OT
51.1%
57.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 11, 2020 | OT | 00:57 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:13 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |