Nathan MacKinnon vs Patrice Bergeron
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 83.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 68.4%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 78.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
MacKinnon
Bergeron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Bergeron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
63.8% (1,102)
-18.0%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
65.3% (288)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
47.6% (210)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Bergeron
Home
49.5% (396)
62.5% (882)
Away
41.7% (448)
61.3% (718)
By Period
MacKinnon
Bergeron
P1
50.2%
62.5%
P2
43.8%
62.7%
P3
41.4%
60.6%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |