Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Faksa 54.5% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 82.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 60.6%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 62.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Bergeron
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bergeron
Faksa
Last 5: Bergeron 3-2 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Faksa
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Faksa
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
55.1% (584)
+8.7%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
66.7% (12)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
53.5% (99)
-5.9%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Faksa is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Faksa
Home
62.5% (882)
54.5% (341)
Away
61.3% (718)
55.6% (354)
By Period
Bergeron
Faksa
P1
62.5%
60.9%
P2
62.7%
53.9%
P3
60.6%
51.4%
OT
62.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
61.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |