Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.4% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 60.5% vs Faksa 55.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Faksa 77.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 92.3%
Neutral zone
Faksa 81.6%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 87.2%
12.8%
87.2%
Bergeron
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Bergeron
Faksa
Last 9: Bergeron 1-8 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
2
Bergeron
Faksa
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
6
Bergeron
Faksa
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,109)
56.7% (413)
+5.8%
Power Play
62.2% (352)
56.3% (16)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (245)
53.7% (123)
-0.2%
On power play, Bergeron has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Bergeron shoots right. Faksa is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Faksa
Home
61.9% (917)
56.3% (261)
Away
60.2% (789)
55.7% (291)
By Period
Bergeron
Faksa
P1
60.8%
58.6%
P2
60.3%
55.0%
P3
63.0%
55.0%
OT
51.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:05 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 01:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |