Patrice Bergeron vs Ryan Carpenter
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carpenter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 57.3% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 90.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 82.3%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Bergeron
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bergeron
Carpenter
Last 5: Bergeron 1-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Bergeron
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Bergeron
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
59.9% (870)
46.2% (474)
+13.7%
Power Play
54.4% (272)
28.6% (7)
+25.8%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
32.6% (129)
+20.7%
On power play, Bergeron has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Bergeron is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Bergeron shoots right. Carpenter is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Carpenter
Home
57.8% (611)
46.5% (303)
Away
58.0% (700)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Bergeron
Carpenter
P1
57.7%
44.2%
P2
57.6%
40.4%
P3
58.7%
44.2%
OT
52.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2020 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |