Patrice Bergeron vs Ryan Carpenter
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 95.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 67.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 83.8%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Bergeron
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bergeron
Carpenter
Last 5: Bergeron 4-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
53.2% (299)
+10.6%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
33.3% (3)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
46.5% (86)
+1.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Bergeron shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Carpenter
Home
62.5% (882)
54.6% (207)
Away
61.3% (718)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Bergeron
Carpenter
P1
62.5%
52.3%
P2
62.7%
51.5%
P3
60.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
61.9%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |