Patrice Bergeron vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.2% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 80.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 68.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 53.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Bergeron
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Bergeron
Carpenter
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
0
Bergeron
Carpenter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
7
Bergeron
Carpenter
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Bergeron
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
60.1% (13,938)
49.6% (2,027)
+10.5%
Power Play
60.8% (3,213)
41.5% (41)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (2,776)
43.9% (467)
+9.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Bergeron is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (6,685).
Bergeron shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Carpenter
Home
61.2% (10,028)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
57.3% (9,930)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Bergeron
Carpenter
P1
59.3%
49.6%
P2
60.0%
47.7%
P3
58.6%
48.0%
OT
57.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |