Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Bergeron wins 63.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 60.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 53.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 54.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Bergeron
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Bergeron
Hertl
Last 10: Bergeron 6-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
5
4
Bergeron
Hertl
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Bergeron
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
51.6% (1,084)
+12.2%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
61.0% (246)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
44.1% (136)
+3.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Bergeron shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Hertl
Home
62.5% (882)
55.2% (696)
Away
61.3% (718)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Bergeron
Hertl
P1
62.5%
55.4%
P2
62.7%
54.8%
P3
60.6%
48.9%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
61.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 15:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:41 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |