Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 58.1% vs Seguin 42.6% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 51.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Bergeron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Bergeron
Seguin
Last 10: Bergeron 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
3
Bergeron
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Bergeron
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
4
2
Bergeron
Seguin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (1,274)
41.1% (649)
+18.3%
Power Play
57.5% (193)
54.2% (24)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (265)
25.0% (4)
+30.5%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bergeron is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Bergeron shoots right. Seguin is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Seguin
Home
61.9% (837)
44.4% (338)
Away
55.5% (895)
38.6% (339)
By Period
Bergeron
Seguin
P1
60.1%
37.8%
P2
59.2%
45.5%
P3
56.6%
41.9%
OT
57.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
58.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 1 | 08:03 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |