Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Bergeron wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 61.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 69.5%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 59.8%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 64.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 68.4%
68.4%
31.6%
Bergeron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bergeron
Seguin
Last 5: Bergeron 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bergeron
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
0
Bergeron
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (1,102)
56.5% (712)
+7.3%
Power Play
65.3% (288)
59.7% (67)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (210)
44.9% (49)
+2.7%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bergeron is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Bergeron shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Seguin
Home
62.5% (882)
58.5% (402)
Away
61.3% (718)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Bergeron
Seguin
P1
62.5%
58.4%
P2
62.7%
54.7%
P3
60.6%
54.1%
OT
62.5%
72.7%
Final 5 min
61.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 19:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:24 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |