Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bergeron wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 56.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 84.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 55.9%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 67.3%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Bergeron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Bergeron
Seguin
Last 9: Bergeron 6-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
1
Bergeron
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bergeron
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (940)
53.9% (996)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.6% (284)
56.4% (94)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (165)
52.1% (165)
-1.8%
On power play, Bergeron has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Bergeron is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (461).
Bergeron shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Seguin
Home
57.7% (712)
55.9% (633)
Away
55.4% (677)
51.8% (622)
By Period
Bergeron
Seguin
P1
55.0%
55.8%
P2
57.1%
51.7%
P3
58.2%
54.5%
OT
48.1%
38.5%
Final 5 min
58.1%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
56.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |