Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +23.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bergeron wins 62.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.6% vs Gourde 41.8% (+23.3%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 11-0 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bergeron 96.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 92.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 96.9%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 94.3%
94.3%
5.7%
Bergeron
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
0
(11 meetings)
11
0
Bergeron
Gourde
Last 10: Bergeron 10-0 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
0
Bergeron
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
0
Bergeron
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
3
0
Bergeron
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (1,254)
39.8% (128)
+22.7%
Power Play
60.1% (303)
25.0% (12)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (255)
26.1% (23)
+22.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Bergeron is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,170).
Bergeron shoots right. Gourde is 32.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Gourde
Home
62.2% (902)
43.2% (95)
Away
58.0% (910)
27.9% (68)
By Period
Bergeron
Gourde
P1
59.6%
43.1%
P2
60.4%
33.3%
P3
60.2%
34.5%
OT
62.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.7%
37.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 13:08 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:59 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 14:53 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |